Updated 21/11/2024
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Article 19 - Calculation of the estimate of the tail parameter

Article 19

Calculation of the estimate of the tail parameter

Institutions shall calculate the estimate of the tail parameter for a given non-modellable risk factor as follows:

(a)

where institutions used the historical method set out in Article 8 for determining the downward and upward calibrated shock of that non-modellable risk factor and the extreme scenario of future shock is the downward calibrated shock, they shall calculate the estimate of the tail parameter in accordance with the following formula:

Formula

where:

Formula
;

Ret is the time series of 10 business days returns for the non-modellable risk factor used in the historical method set out in Article 8;

Formula
represents the i-th smallest return in the time series Ret;

Formula
denotes the integer part of
Formula
;

Formula
is the estimate of the left-tail expected shortfall for the time series Ret calculated in accordance with Article 11(1);

(b)

where institutions used the historical method set out in Article 8 for determining the downward and upward calibrated shock of that non-modellable risk factor and the extreme scenario of future shock is the upward calibrated shock, they shall calculate the estimate of the tail parameter in accordance with the following formula:

Formula

where:

Formula
;

Ret is the time series of 10 business days returns for the non-modellable risk factor used in the historical method set out in Article 8;

Formula
represents the i-th smallest return in the time series 
Formula
;

Formula
denotes the integer part of
Formula
;

Formula
is the estimate of the right-tail expected shortfall for the time series Ret calculated in accordance with Article 11(2);

(c)

in all other cases institutions shall set the estimate of the tail parameter

Formula

.